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During a recession, a significant decline in economic activity spreads across the economy and can last from a few months to more than a year.
Similarly, during an expansion, economic activity rises substantially, spreads across the economy, and usually lasts for several years.
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The committee does not have a fixed definition of economic activity.
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The committee applies its judgment based on the above definitions of recessions and expansions and has no fixed rule to determine whether a contraction is only a short interruption of an expansion, or an expansion is only a short interruption of a contraction.
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The nber s business cycle dating committee the nber s business cycle dating committee maintains a chronology of the u.
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The committee s use of these indicators in conjunction with the broad measures recognizes the issue of double-counting of sectors included in both those indicators and the broad measures.
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The committee also may consider indicators that do not cover the entire economy, such as real sales and the federal reserve s index of industrial production (ip).
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